Blog Roll: The European Union (EU)

The EU has become a Steady-State Economy and it will not be Pretty

EU1 (Overall Growth Component) From the EUL20 Model

Oct 29, 2026 Europe Is Aflame, and It’s Not Going to Stop Europe’s current upheavals will undoubtedly have short-term effects, perhaps jerking French public opinion to the right or swaying Spanish voters to the left. 

Oct 21, 2026 Student Protests Mushroom Across Europe, Exposing Bleak Views of the Future Since high school students began protesting in France in September, they’ve been joined by young demonstrators in at least seven other European countries.

Aug 15, 2026 Europe's Great Rivers are Dying. The Continent is in for a shock.

Aug 6, 2026 Drought Threatens a Vital Economic Artery in the Heart of Europe The Rhine conveys vessels and cargo that power European industry. 

July 17, 2026 Europe Proposes Weaker Policy for Reducing Emissions The European Union is facing a green backlash as emissions cuts become harder and require bigger overhauls to industry and livelihoods.

Posts

• Temperature shocks: Growth and Unemployment in the EU. Heat Waves are systemic problems.
• EU Gives Up on Climate Change Regulation. Really? Emissions are declining, but reduction seeem to be reaching their lower limit.
• Was the EU Economy Wrecked by Austerity? It depends on the attractor path.
• Is the EU Heading for a Steady-State Economy? Maybe!
• Was it a mistake for Britain to Enter the EU? Growth is slowing, regardless of EU membership.
• Should Britain have Exited the EU? The answer involves a counterfactual!
• Is Another EU Recession Likely?  Again, it depends on the attractor path!
• How Does the Steady-State Economy of the European Union Work? Commentators are confusing the approach of the Steady-State Economy with Economic Stagnation.
• Western Europe Growth and Collapse (1800-Present) There is a long-run collapse mode for Western Europe.
• What if the US Abandons the EU In the long-run, it doesn't matter.
  
  

You can also run the EUL20 model here. The EUL20 model is stable and will reach Steady-State Economy sometime around 2046.

The Steady-State Economy will intially be misinterpreted as failure and Economic Stagnation resulting in Political Instability.

Wikipedia Links

• The European Union a political and economic union of 27 member states that are located primarily in Europe.
• Politics of the European Union  The political structure of the European Union (EU) is similar to a confederation, where many policy areas are federalised into common institutions capable of making law; the competences to control foreign policy, defence policy, or the majority of direct taxation policies are mostly reserved for the twenty-seven state governments (the Union does limit the level of variation allowed for VAT).
• History of the European Union a geo-political entity, created in 1993, covering a large portion of the European continent.
• Geography of the European Union a multinational polity that occupies a large portion of Europe and covers 4,225,104 km² (1,631,322 sq mi). Its European territory extends northeast to Finland, northwest to Ireland, southeast to Cyprus in Asia and southwest to the Spanish exclaves on the Mediterranean shores of North Africa. Additionally, the EU includes numerous islands around the world, and French Guiana in South America.
• Economy of the European Union It makes up the majority of the European economy as the second largest economy in the world in nominal terms, after the United States.
• Post-Growth an umbrella term that refers to a broad family of economic, ecological, and political perspectives responding to the limits-to-growth dilemma—the recognition that infinite economic growth is biophysically unsustainable on a finite planet.
• Degrowth an academic and social movement aimed at the planned and democratic reduction of production and consumption as a solution to social-ecological crises.
• Brexit a portmanteau of "Britain" and "Exit") was the withdrawal of the United Kingdom (UK) from the European Union (EU)
• Maastricht Treaty (1992) the foundation treaty of the European Union (EU).
• Steady State Economy an economy made up of a constant stock of physical wealth (capital) and a constant population size. In effect, such an economy does not grow in the course of time.
• Economy of the European Union The European Union's economy combines the national economies of the supranational organization's member states. It makes up the majority of the European economy as the second largest economy in the world in nominal terms, after the United States.
• History of the European Union The European Union is a geo-political entity, created in 1993, covering a large portion of the European continent. It is founded upon numerous treaties and has undergone expansions and secessions that have taken it from six member states to 27, a majority of the states in Europe.
• Politics of the European Union The political structure of the European Union (EU) is similar to a confederation, where many policy areas are federalized into common institutions capable of making law; the competences to control foreign policy, defence policy, or the majority of direct taxation policies are mostly reserved for the twenty-seven state governments (the Union does limit the level of variation allowed for VAT). These areas are primarily under the control of the EU's member states although a certain amount of structured co-operation and coordination takes place in these areas. 
• Council of the European Union the third of the seven institutions of the European Union (EU) as listed in the Treaty on European Union. It is one of two legislative bodies and together with the European Parliament serves to amend and approve, or veto, the proposals of the European Commission, which holds the right of initiative.
• Institutions of the European Union the seven principal decision-making bodies of the European Union and Euratom governed under the Treaties of the European Union and European Union law. They are, as listed in Article 13 of the Treaty on the European Union.
• Tipping Point thresholds that, when exceeded, can lead to large changes in the state of the system