Blog Roll: World-System Dynamic Component Models

 

Blog Roll: Eastern Europe

The major Geopolitical Problem facing Eastern Europe at present is the War in Ukraine. Any scenarios constructed for Eastern Europe are contingent on the outcome of the War. Add into that, the 2026 War in Iran. The outcome of these wars also depends on the involvement of NATO, the European Union, the United States and Russia.

My current blog postings:

• Blog Roll: Russia 
• Blog Roll: Ukraine 
• Blog Roll: Iran
• Blog Roll: EU

Notes

State Space Dynamic Component Models

Eastern Europe Measurement Model

Eastern Europe BAU Model

Eastern Europe AIC Statistics

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Blog Roll: Iraq

Notes

• The Gulf War
• Economy of Iraq
• History of Iraq
• Politics of Iraq
• History of Iraq (2011-Present)
• Islamic State Invasion of Iraq
• WMD Conjecture
• Rationale for Iraq War
• G. W. Bush Administration
• Saddam Hussein
• Ahmed Chalabi
• al-Qaeda

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Blog Roll: Afghanistan

10 March 2026 UN warns that Afghanistan faces deepening crisis as regional 'instability' tightens grip

2 Apr 2026 Afghanistan Update

Notes

• The Revenge of Geography
• New Strategy in Afghanistan
• War in Afghanistan (2001-2021)
• Soviet-Afghan War (1979-1989)
• Anglo-Afghan Wars
• Civil Wars
• Afghan Civil War (1989-1992)
• Afghan Civil War (1992-1996)
• Afghan Civil War (1996-2001)
• Economy of Afghanistan
• History of Afghanistan
• Politics of Afghanistan
• Government of Afghanistan
• Geography of Afghanistan
• Taliban
• Mujahideen
• Asymmetric Warfare
• Afghanistan
• AF_L20 Model The model is an unstable Moving Equilibrium model that can be stabilized (instructions in the code).

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Video

The Revenge of Geography

April 18, 2026 For Iran, Flexing Control Over Waterway Is New Deterrent Trump gave Iran a new weapon! It's about Geography!

On Fareed Zakaria GPS, Fareed interviewed Robert D. Kaplan (video above). Mr. Kaplan's thesis is that geography constrains the distribution of power within the World system and largely encourages particular outcomes in the balance of power between nations.

His analysis of geography leads him to the conclusion that Russian, Iran, Afghanistan, and Mexico will be the dominant powers in the future of the World System. World System theory, on the other hand, has focused on Hegemony.

The New Strategy in Afghanistan

A new report by Jeffrey A. Dressler "Securing Helmand: Understanding the Enemy".