Blog Roll: Israel

Up to the 2026 US-Israel-Iran War and since WWII, Israel has been involved in Seven Wars in the Middle East. Google AI Warns:

At the same time, the causes of the 2026 US-Israel-Iran War are entangled with the legal problems of Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu.

In my lifetime, there has never been peace in the Middle East and there has never been a US President serving with a lengthy record of Impeachments and criminal prosecutions. The day-to-day Political Events are surely a Random Walk, but there must be some causal structure in the long-term models.

Here is a Blog Roll of my posting on Israel:

• Alternative Geopolitical Alignments for Israel Nothing very realistic.
• What If Israel was the Hegemonic Leader of the Middle East It depends on whether you value a Steady State Economy or not.
• A Steady State Economy for Israel is possible but unlikely given the ongoing Regional War.
• Cycles and Steady State for Israel Geopolitical Alignment with the US will create continuing cycles of development in the future.
• Technological Change in Israel Learning-by-Doing is the most important source of Technical Change and is driven by the Military, Economic, and Geopolitical challenges Israel faces.

None of my models predict Peace in the Middle East! 

Notes

More readings:

• Israel: A Blind Spot for Steady Staters
• The Crisis in the Middle East is a Crisis of Growth
• The Myth of Israel Innovation

You can run the IL_L20 model, written in R-code, here. Instructions in the code show how to stabilize the system. Other models for the Middle East and North Africa are available here.

The Peace Process

• Abraham Accords a set of agreements that established diplomatic normalization between Israel and several Arab states, beginning with the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain.
• Oslo Accords a pair of interim agreements between Israel and the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO): the Oslo I Accord, signed in Washington, D.C., in 1993;^[1] and the Oslo II Accord, signed in Taba, Egypt, in 1995.
• Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty following the 1978 Camp David Accords, the Egypt–Israel treaty was signed by Anwar Sadat, President of Egypt, and Menachem Begin, Prime Minister of Israel, and witnessed by Jimmy Carter, President of the United States.
• Israel-Jordan Peace Treaty an agreement that ended the state of war that had existed between the two countries since the 1948 Arab–Israeli War and established mutual diplomatic relations.
• Gaza Peace Plan a multilateral agreement between Israel and Hamas that aims to address the ongoing Gaza war and broader Middle Eastern crisis.
• Two-State Solution a proposed approach to resolving the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, by creating two states on the territory of the former Mandatory Palestine.
• Arab-Israel Normalization since the 1970s, a parallel effort to find terms upon which peace can be agreed to in the Arab–Israeli conflict and also specifically the Israeli–Palestinian conflict.

The Combatants

• Axis of Resistance
• Hamas
• Houthis
• Hezbollah 
• Islamic Jihad
• Qasem Soleimani 
• Quds Force
• Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
• Popular Mobilization Forces in Iraq
• Palestinian militant organizations
• Shia insurgency in Iraq
• Russian involvement in the Syrian civil war
• Muslim Brotherhood
• Ali Khamenei
• Shiite Islam
• Naim Qassem
• Bashar al-Assad

The Map

Blog Roll: Middle East North Africa (MEA)

 

The Middle East and North Africa (MEA) are in turmoil right now as a result of the US-Israel-Iran 2026 War. The video above provides geographical overview of the MEA Countries.

This post presents a Blog Roll of the WL20 MEA Model and other country models I have estimated. 

For more information on Data Sources and how the models were estimates, see the Boiler Plate.

• The WL20R MEA BAU Model
• Blog Roll: The BRICS
• Blog Roll: Energy Transition
• Blog Roll: Climate Change
• Blog Roll: The United States
• Blog Roll: Russia
• Blog Roll: Latin America
• Blog Roll: The United Kingdom
• Blog Roll: The World System
• Blog Roll: The EU
• Blog Roll: Venezuela
• Blog Roll: Ukraine
• Trump's Trade War
• Blog Roll: Syria
• Blog Roll: Iran

Notes

You can run the WL20R MEA BAU model, which is written in R-code, here. Instructions in the code allow you to run alternative futures.

Stooges Third Reich Putdown

Serious Nuclear Weapons Accidents on US Territory! Really?

The PBS American Experience Documentary Command and Control documents the deadly 1980 accident at a Titan II missile complex in Damascus, Arkansas. The footage was actually shot at the Titan Missile Museum outside Tucson, Arizona (a scene breakdown is available here). I visited the Museum last year and here's a brief review of the Museum and the documentary.

Blog Roll: Spain

 

Mar 3, 2026 Spain is in the news today because it denied US permission to use jointly operated bases to attack Iran. Spain is one of the few EU countries that has stood up to the US against the war with Iran. chatGPT notes that:

and that 

Here are some of my posts on Spain:

• Why is it Important to Study Spain? To understand the US South West and Latin America, you must understand Spain.
• Blog Roll: Mexico A major player in Latin America.
• Power Outage in Spain and Portugal provided shocks to each economy that can be analyzed.
• The Economy of Spain can be stabilized by Reducing Growth Rates Unlikely!
• The Mystery of Why Portugal's Economy is Performing so Poorly. The economy is moving toward a Steady State.

Notes

You can run the ESL20 model yourself using R-code here.

Blog Roll: How Germany Became Europe's Richest Country

The video above lists 10 reasons why Germany has become so wealthy. According to chatGPT:

Also, according to chatGPT, Germany is facing a number of problems:

Here are some of my posts on Germany:

• Six Futures for Germany  These future forecasts point toward a Steady-State Economy or worse!
• Has Germany Become a Steady State Economy? Very likely!
• Compare Germany to other EU Countries German is in the "Steady-State Economy" category.
• Blog Roll: EU For other comparisons.

Notes

You can run the DEL20 model in R-code here.