Blog Roll: The United Kingdom (1950-2000+)

 

24 April 2026 Could Trump withdraw US support for UK sovereignty of Falklands? Trump wants to punish European countries for not supporting his 2026 War on Iran.

A shock to the UK system will decrease Overall Growth (UK1), increase Environmental damage (UK2)  and decrease Globalization-Human Development (UK3) (see the UKL20 Model).

After Leaving the European Union on on 31 January 2020 (Brexit), Britain's future remains murky. ChatGPT reports that:

ChatGPT also provides a number of background references for this conclusion:

• UK Economy returns to growth, but only just, as Reeves plans budget
• Bank of England Monetary Policy Report -- November 2025
• UK Inflation, OBR 2026 Forecasts
• IFS Economic Outlook for the UK: navigating narrow paths
• IMF: Bank of England Should be 'Very Cautious'

If you are interested in forming your own opinions about the Economy of the United Kingdom, here is a Blog Roll of results from various historical Systems models:

• Six Forecasts for the United Kingdom Some are stable, some are not.
• Technological Change in the United Kingdom Technical Productivity seems to be reaching a Steady State in the UK.
• Should Great Britain Have Exited the European Union? A Great Counterfactual!
• Is the UK Economy Heading for a Steady State? Maybe and maybe not!
• Hegemonic Dominance Not surprisingly, the UK is one of "also rans" in the battle for Hegemonic Dominance of the World System, but that is not necessarily a good thing.

The Economy of the United Kingdom in History:

• The UKL19D Model Collapsing Economy, unstable Export-Urban Population controller.
• The UKE20 Model During the Great Depression, the UK had doubly unstable Growth-Export and Export-Employment Controllers.
• The UKL19 Model During the Late 19th Century, the British economy was unstable and collapsing due to an unstable Urban-Export controller.
• The UK18 Model During the 18th Century, the British Economy was also unstable and collapsing due to an unstable Growth-Export Controller and an Unstable Export-Population Controller. Historically, the UK Economy was saved by the Industrial Revolution.
• The UK17 Model During the 17th Century, the British Economy had an unstable Growth-Exports controller and an unstable Malthusian-Export controller (Exports allowing the economy to growth exponentially.
• The UK16 Model During the 16th Century, the British Economy had an unstable Growth-Export controller and an unstable Urban-Population-Export controller, allowing the economy to growth exponentially.

You can run the UKL20 Model using R-code on my Google Site. The model is an unstable, Moving Equilibrium model that can be easily stabilized (see instructions in the code).