The Trump Administration has resurrected the Monroe Doctrine and added a Trump "Corollary". What effects might be expected from carving the World-System up into Spheres of Influence? Here's a Blog Roll of my postings on Latin America:
- Latin America and the Donroe Doctrine Will the Trump "Corollary" to the Monroe Doctrine help Latin America? Unlikely.
- Six Futures for Growth of Colombia The most stable Future for Colombia focuses on Globalization. The Colombian BAU model exhibits unstable cycles.
- Growth Forecasts for Venezuela The best future for Venezuela focuses on Technical Efficiency (not Technical Productivity). For the entire economy, Venezuela is approaching a Steady State. The best controller for Inflation in Venezuela is Globalization.
- Latin American Futures The best future for Latin America is Business-as-Usual (no Geopolitical Alignments). However, the Latin America BAU model is unstable and cyclical.
- Geopolitical Linkages: Canada, Mexico and the US Trade Wars between CA, MX and the US will benefit none of the countries.
- Future Forecasts for the EU The best forecast is to pursue Business-as-Usual with no Geopolitical Alignments.
- Latin American Geopolitical Alignment with China would benefit Latin America but would be resisted by the US.
- Future Forecasts for Argentina Business-as-Usual and Geopolitical Alignment with Russia produce uncontrolled, unstable exponential growth. Growth in Government Expenditure is out of control. Should Argentina take a Random Walk with Shock Therapy? Better System Control is needed in Argentina rather than Shock Therapy. Linking with the Latin American Regional Economy would provide a stable future growth path for Argentina; linking with the US would produce Growth-and-Collapse. Historically, the Economy of Argentina has been through many Economic Bubbles as a result of Political Mismanagement.
- Futures for Growth of Mexico Business-as-Usual and focus on Technical Productivity produce stable growth. Geopolitical Linkage with the World System, the US and China produce Collapse.
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