Blog Roll: Afghanistan

 

2 Apr 2026 Afghanistan Update

• The Revenge of Geography
• New Strategy in Afghanistan

Notes

• War in Afghanistan (2001-2021)
• Soviet-Afghan War (1979-1989)
• AF_L20 Model The model is an unstable Moving Average model that can be stabilized (instructions in the code).

The Revenge of Geography

On Fareed Zakaria GPS, Fareed interviewed Robert D. Kaplan (video above). Mr Kaplan's thesis is that geography constrains the distribution of power within the World system and largely encourages particular outcomes in the balance of power between nations.

His analysis of geography leads him to the conclusion that Russian, Iran, Afghanistan, and Mexico will be the dominant powers in the future of the World System. World System theory, on the other hand,

The New Strategy in Afghanistan

A new report by Jeffrey A. Dressler "Securing Helmand: Understanding the Enemy".