Blog Roll: Russia

 

Dec 29, 2025. Russia Threatens to Toughen Its Stance on Ending the War in Ukraine In a somewhat bizarre sequence of events, the US President (Donald Trump) had a phone call with the Russian President (Vladimir Putin), had a meeting with the Ukrainian President, Volodymyr Zalenskyy, and then had another call with Vladimir Putin. Without getting into the weird timing and details of these events (Was Trump getting Instructions from Putin? Was Putin looking for a pretext to continue fighting, etc. etc.), it seems that the peace process is in a "stalling mode" and the battlefield has settled into a stalemate. Why is this?

My state space statistical model of the Russian economy is also very unusual compared to other countries in the World-System. The RUL20 model is unstable and highly cyclical, forecast to peak again around 2050 and then collapse (again) after that. In other words, if Ukraine can hold out until 2050, the Russian Empire would collapse again as a results of it's own internal dynamics. But, 25 years is a long time.

Another interesting aspect of the RUL20 model is that the best Geopolitical Alignment for Russia would be for the country to join the European Union (!). Again, maybe the passing of a quarter century would be necessary for that to happen.

Here is a Blog Roll of my postings on Russia:

• Five Futures for Russia Joining the EU provides the best future for Russia!
• Geopolitical Futures for Ukraine Alignment with Russia is positive if cyclical but the best model is Business-As-Usual (no Geopolitical Alignment).
• A New Axis of Evil? Geopolitical alignment of Russia, India and China do not produce attractive model forecasts for any of the countries.
• Futures of Syria Geopolitical Alignment with Russia is OK, but Business-as-usual (no Geopolitical Alignment) is best.
• Hegemonic Dominance Forecasts for the World System  In terms of unending, uncontrolled exponential growth, alignment with Russia would be best but the environmental consequences would be quite negative.
• Futures for China Alignment with Russia would produced uncontrolled, unending exponential growth that would have negative environmental consequences.
• US Attempts to Dominate India Geopolitical Alignment with Russia  would produce a strongly cyclical future for India with large growth and collapse cycles.
• Seven Futures For Iran Geopolitical alignment with Russia would produce collapse.
• Futures for the World System Dominance by Russia would produce strong cycles of growth and collapse.
• Futures for Argentina Alignment with Russia produces unending, uncontrolled exponential growth and an environmental nightmare.
• Latin American Forecasts Alignment with Russia would produce immediate collapse.
• Forecasts for Columbia Alignment with Russia would produce wild cycles of growth and collapse.
• Futures for Germany Alignment with Russia would produces unstable cycles of growth and collapse.

Continuing Imperialist alignments with Russia do not produce attractive outcomes, but unending and uncontrolled exponential growth will be an attractive future for some political-economic elites.

Notes

Wikipedia

Economy of Russia

Shadow Economy of Russia

Economic History of the Russian Federation

Economic History of the Russian Empire

Corruption in Russia

Economy of Ukraine

History of Russia

Russian Empire

Russo-Ukrainian War

Blog Roll: The Great Depression

 

The Great Depression of the Early 20th Century is (and was) a systemic event between World War I and World War II that has been intensely analyzed, if over-analyzed (see References below). The one viewpoint that seems to have been under-analyzed is the perspective of Systems Theory. The following is a Blog Roll of my postings on the topic:

• How do we define Great Depressions? From the standpoint of Systems Theory, not correctly.
• Shock Theories of Great Depressions An obvious but inadequate perspective.
• Did the Great Depression hit at a conjuncture of Technological Change? Maybe, but there have been a lot of Technological Long Waves and Conjunctures.
• Measuring the Great Depression Obsessive focus on the collapse of Gross Domestic product is myopic. 
• The Minsky-Kindleberger Framework So far, the best qualitative systemic framework. It needs to be tested.
• War and Normalcy: (1914-1929)  The Roaring Twenties Bubble was "popped" by the 1929 Stock Market Crash after which the US Economy returned to the long-run attractor path.
• Forecasting the Great Depression in France Not easy (or maybe even possible) since France reinvented itself after WWI and responded very conservatively to the shocks of the Great Depression.
• Black Thursday, Monday and Tuesday The Stock Market Crash.
• Are there Feedback Loop that Control The Economy? Yes, but...
• Ben Bernanke and the Great Depression You have to be a little sympathetic...
• The Fed Now has Better NowCasting Models So let's apply the models to the Great Depression.
• US Debt and the Great Depression The Deficit Scolds don't understand History.
• Political Philosophy and the Great Depression We are still stuck in the 1930's.
• One Problem with the Keynesian Plan It's Political!
• The Great Depression in France A difficult forecasting problem!
• Prohibition and Regulation OK, not all regulation makes sense!
• Income Inequality and the Great Depression Income Inequality peaked right before the Great Depression!
• American Values and Inequality It's a laugh!
• Are there Economic Stabilizers in the Economy? Maybe!
• Do We need Income Inequality for Growth? No!
• Is Income Inequality Inevitable? No!
• Tariffs and the Great Depression. Most politicians must have flunked ECON 101.
• Might MORE Capitalism help? No!
• Scenes from the Great Depression. Rewriting History.

Systems Theory opens up an entirely new perspective on the Great Depression. I will keep adding posts to this Blog Roll until I think I've attacked all the issues and competing explanations.

Notes

Readings

• Peter Fearon (1987) War, Prosperity and Depression, The US Economy 1917-1945. A good summary of the Economic Thinking on the Great Depression
• Charles Kindleberger (2013) World in Depression, 1929-1939 The best understanding of the Great Depression as a World-wide, Systemic Event
• Charles Kindleberger (2015) Manias, Panics and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises What causes departures from the Attractor Path 
• US Government (2008) Outline of US History, Chapter 10, War, Prosperity and Depression. The "official" history for the US! 
• Immanuel Wallerstein (2004) World-Systems Analysis: An Introduction
• Ludwig von Bertalanffy (2015) General System Theory: Foundations, Development, Applications Kindle Edition

Blog Roll: Latin America

 

January 3, 2026. TRUMP INVADES VENEZUELA The New York Times is providing live updates here.

Dec 2025. The Trump Administration has resurrected the Monroe Doctrine and added a Trump "Corollary". What effects might be expected from carving the World-System up into Spheres of Influence? Here's a Blog Roll of my postings on Latin America:

• Latin America and the Donroe Doctrine Will the Trump "Corollary" to the Monroe Doctrine help Latin America? Unlikely.
  
• Six Futures for Growth of Colombia The most stable Future for Colombia focuses on Globalization. The Colombian BAU model exhibits unstable cycles.
• Growth Forecasts for Venezuela  The best future for Venezuela focuses on Technical Efficiency (not Technical Productivity). For the entire economy, Venezuela is approaching a Steady State. The best controller for Inflation in Venezuela is Globalization.
• Latin American Futures The best future for Latin America is Business-as-Usual (no Geopolitical Alignments). However, the Latin America BAU model is unstable and cyclical.
• Geopolitical Linkages: Canada, Mexico and the US Trade Wars between CA, MX and the US will benefit none of the countries.
• Future Forecasts for the EU The best forecast is to pursue Business-as-Usual with no Geopolitical Alignments.
• Latin American Geopolitical Alignment with China would benefit Latin America but would be resisted by the US.
• Future Forecasts for Argentina Business-as-Usual and Geopolitical Alignment with Russia produce uncontrolled, unstable exponential growth. Growth in Government Expenditure is out of control. Should Argentina take a Random Walk with Shock Therapy? Better System Control is needed in Argentina rather than Shock Therapy. Linking with the Latin American Regional Economy would provide a stable future growth path for Argentina; linking with the US would produce Growth-and-Collapse. Historically, the Economy of Argentina has been through many Economic Bubbles as a result of Political Mismanagement.
• Futures for Growth of Mexico Business-as-Usual and focus on Technical Productivity produce stable growth. Geopolitical Linkage with the World System, the US and China produce Collapse.
  
  
  
  
  

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Blog Roll: The United Kingdom (1950-2000+)

 

13 Aug 2026 Mad Dogs and Englishmen in the Noonday Sun With forecasters issuing a warning for very high temperatures, this summer is on track to be one of the hottest yet.

1 Aug 2026 Britain’s Relative Decline Since the 1850s? How technology, geopolitics and politics can lead to greatness, decline and stagnation

20 Jul 2026 John Healey will oversee fiscal and monetary policy.

20 Jul 2026 Burham's First Day as Prime Minister Emphasis on Social Programs.

20 Jul 2026 Five of the Main Challenges Awaiting Britain’s New Prime Minister: (1) An Economy in the Doldrums, (2) Conflict with the US, (3) More Cash for Military Spending, (4) The Immigration Debate, (5) Rising cost of Welfare and Pensions 

17 Jul 2026 Burnham Becomes Labour Leader Pledging to Deliver Hope to Britain Burnham will face many of the same structural problems that have bedeviled his predecessors: slow growth, high government debt, a struggling health service and political fissures. 

16 Jul 2026 Britain Nationalizes it's Last Major Steel Mill

27 June 2026 Why was Keir Starmer so Disastrously Ineffective?

23 June 2026 Britain Is Still Deep in the Shadow of Brexit: Ten years after a slim majority voted to leave the European Union, the economic and political effects of that decision continue to disrupt the United Kingdom.

22 June 2026 Ten Years After Brexit, the Dismal Verdict Is In and Prime Minister Starmer Resigns

24 April 2026 Could Trump withdraw US support for UK sovereignty of Falklands? Trump wants to punish European countries for not supporting his 2026 War on Iran.

A shock to the UK system will increase Overall Growth (UK1), increase Environmental damage (UK2)  and decrease Globalization-Human Development (UK3) (see the UKL20 Model).

After Leaving the European Union on on 31 January 2020 (Brexit), Britain's future remains murky. ChatGPT reports that:

ChatGPT also provides a number of background references for this conclusion:

• UK Economy returns to growth, but only just, as Reeves plans budget
• Bank of England Monetary Policy Report -- November 2025
• UK Inflation, OBR 2026 Forecasts
• IFS Economic Outlook for the UK: navigating narrow paths
• IMF: Bank of England Should be 'Very Cautious'

If you are interested in forming your own opinions about the Economy of the United Kingdom, here is a Blog Roll of results from various historical Systems models:

• Can Policy Actions Destabilize the UK Economy A: Yes!
• UKL20 Hardship Dynamics As a Steady-State Economy approaches for Great Britain, Cycles of Hardship will be percieved as Political Failure and will result in Political Instability.
• Brexit, Financialization, Hardship and Growth?  Britain gave up on the EU before the benfits were realized.
• Six Forecasts for the United Kingdom Some are stable, some are not.
• Technological Change in the United Kingdom Technical Productivity seems to be reaching a Steady State in the UK.
• Should Great Britain Have Exited the European Union? A Great Counterfactual!
• Is the UK Economy Heading for a Steady State? Maybe and maybe not!
• Hegemonic Dominance Not surprisingly, the UK is one of the "also rans" in the battle for Hegemonic Dominance of the World System, but that is not necessarily a good thing.
• British Austerity: Is the Pain Worth the Gain No.
• Austerity: No Pain, No Gain or No Brain? You decide!
• Is Britain Heading for Another Debt Crisis? The Debt Controller is Stable.
• How is Debt Controlled in Great Britain?  The EU had rules; now the UK doesn't.
• Globalization Shocks: The UK After Brexit Globalization had very small effects on the UK Economy.
• The UK Has a Growth-and-Collapse Mode that can dominate after Brexit.
• Focus on Technical Efficency (TECHE) puts the UK in Growth-and-Collapse mode.

The Economy of the United Kingdom in History:

• The UKL19D Model Collapsing Economy, unstable Export-Urban Population controller.
• The UKE20 Model During the Great Depression, the UK had doubly unstable Growth-Export and Export-Employment Controllers.
• The UKL19 Model During the Late 19th Century, the British economy was unstable and collapsing due to an unstable Urban-Export controller.
• The UK18 Model During the 18th Century, the British Economy was also unstable and collapsing due to an unstable Growth-Export Controller and an Unstable Export-Population Controller. Historically, the UK Economy was saved by the Industrial Revolution.
• The UK17 Model During the 17th Century, the British Economy had an unstable Growth-Exports controller and an unstable Malthusian-Export controller (Exports allowing the economy to growth exponentially.
• The UK16 Model During the 16th Century, the British Economy had an unstable Growth-Export controller and an unstable Urban-Population-Export controller, allowing the economy to growth exponentially.

You can run the UKL20 Model using R-code on my Google Site. The model is an unstable, Moving Equilibrium model that can be easily destabilized and stabilized (see instructions in the code).

Technology Long Waves

  

The Kondratiev Wave is an important element of World-Systems Theory. The graphic above is taken from Andreas Goldschmidt and gives historical specifics for technological cycles. Goldschmidt's formulation allows for the idea to be tested (one of the models I always test), is partially consistent with economic Growth theory (particularly if we do not assume a functional form for exogenous disembodied technological change in the Solow-Swan Model) and I can present some examples.

• The Iranian Economy prior to 1979 and associated Tech Bubble.

Back-of-the-envelope Calculations: Global Warming

In the introductory chapter of  The Demon Haunted World: Science as a candle in the Dark Carl Sagan writes:

It was from [G. P.] Kuiper that I first got a feeling for what is called a back-of--the-envelope calculation: A possible explanation to a problem occurs to you, you pull out an old envelope, appeal to your knowledge of fundamental physics, scribble a few approximate equations on the envelope, substitute in likely numerical values, and see if your answer comes anywhere near explaining your problem. If not, you look for a different explanation, It cut through nonsense like a knife through butter.

Given the controversies that are currently swirling around Climate change (the President of the United States has called it a "hoax"), it would be useful for the non-scientists to have a back-of-the-envelope calculation to "cut through nonsense". There is a simple equation, called the Kaya Identity that would be very useful to understand.

I first became aware of the Kaya Identity on one of the first IPCC reports. The Kaya Identity proves a back-of-the-envelope way to calculate global temperature increase, T, from population growth. The current IPPC report, AR15, doesn't mention it in the introduction but it should. AR15 claims that it is already too late to limit anthropogenic (human caused) climate change. It is  dire warning but how can the non-scientists check the assertion. Let's work through he Kaya identity slowly and see what the calculations tell us.

The first step in the causal chain is the effect of population growth, N,  on economic production, Q. The Kaya equation is Q = qN where q is output per capita. In the Kaya framework, q is called an intensive variable while N and Q are extensive variables.

Blog Roll: The World System (1950-2000+)

 

The World System is in Growth-and-Collapse Mode. Realistic policy measures (aside from reducing growth rates) do not seem available (see the graphic below). 

Sep 17, 2026 Global Economy Is Running Out of Wiggle Room Many countries blunted the most painful effects of the energy shock from the war in Iran. But prices remain elevated and risks are multiplying.

The World System, typically used by the IPCC to model Global Climate Change, means one macro-system explaining environmental and economic trends of the World. The World-System (notice the hyphen), a term used by World-Systems Theory, refers to a "World of Systems" in which nation states and regions form hierarchical Geopolitical relationships.**

Here are some postings I have done from the perspective of both the World System and the World-System:

• Is the Green Transition Over?  Yes, unless you cherry-pick examples.
• Global Temperature Projections Using the World System model, Global Temperature will peak below +1.5 degrees Centigrade. Using the Kaya Model, it will not (goodbye Polar Ice Caps).
• A More Conservative Peak Oil Forecast World Oil production, and the resulting CO2 emissions, might not collapse in 2040.
• Peak Oil and Global Warming Peak Oil Production, at some time in the Future, seems reasonable but "when" is hard to predict.
• World Population Collapse Both the UN and my WL20 model predict that World Population will start to collapse after 2050. If that really happens, there will be ripple effects throughout the Kaya Identity!
• A New Axis of Evil Looks scary but they might be no better at running the World-System than the US.
• Geopolitical Linkages: Canada, Mexico and the US The Trump II Administration is tinkering with a World-System that they do not understand.
• US Attempts to Dominate India In the long-run, it would lead to the collapse of India.
• World System Collapse Theory Doomsday has not been cancelled.
• World System Steady State and Collapse The only stable, steady state future for the World System is dominance by Europe. Right now, competition between the major Hegemonic contenders (the US, Russia and China) might not produce a steady-state Future.
• Hegemonic Dominance Forecasts Dominance of the World System by Russia would lead to (1) unending exponential growth and (2) a Dystopian Nightmare.
• Six Futures for the World System The best Future for the World System involves no Hegemonic Leader.
• US CO2 Forecasts Emissions are declining in the US but the best way to reinforce the trend is to let gasoline prices increase, a political non-starter.
• Coal will make Reducing Energy Intensity Difficult Reducing the mining and burning of coal will be difficult and the Trump II Administration is trying to "Greenwash" the problem by rebranding it "Clean Coal," which it isn't.
• EU Gives Up on Climate Regulation! Really? Backtracking might simply be an admission that EU countries are reaching a steady state.
• US CO2 Emission Reduction Unlikely as a result of COP17 Steady-state emissions are more likely rather than reductions.
• World Impact Forecasts More on Impact Models, if you are interested. Impact models do not have feedback effects but they are easy to calculate by hand and maybe feedback effects are weak in the World-System.
• How to Balance the World System Wait for Growth-and-Collapse.

Some of the State Space Dynamic Components models (see the Boiler Plate) for the period 1950-2000+ are available as R-code and can be run here.

The World System is in Growth-and-Collapse mode (WL20 in the graphic above from the WL203 Model). A Steady State Economy can be created by reducing (to zero) some of the Historical Feedback Controllers (instructions are available in the WL20 Code)--not a realistic policy recommendation. 

Notes

Harrington, G. (2022) Five Insights for Avoiding Global Collapse

** Of course, the World System could be one of the World-Systems. However, World-Systems Theory does not analyze the "World System" because there is no Political System controlling the World System. In the future, a Galactic Empire could form but, in Science Fiction, it is mostly conceptualized as a Fascist Dictatorship.

This video explains the rise and fall of the Galactic Empire:

Blog Roll: Argentina

Sep 29, 2026 In Paris, Argentinian President Javier Milei seeks investors to support his country's struggling economy Javier Milei, in the French capital for the Argentina Week forum, hopes to attract new foreign investment to stave off recession in his country, with just over a year to go before the next presidential election.

 Wikipedia notes (here) that:

Argentina's economy has swung from one of the world's richest in the early 20th century to repeated cycles of boom, bust, and hyperinflation, driven by commodity dependence, political instability, and policy shifts.

The newest shock to the economy has come from president Javier Milei's  Economic Austerity policies which have, evidently, failed and required a $20 Bailout from the Trump II Administration. 

I have a systems model (ARL20) of the Argentine Economy which can be used to investigate (1) the Late 20th and early 21st century Economic History of Argentina and (2) alternative Geopolitical Futures for Argentina and the resulting economic impacts.

• Seven Futures for Argentina Alignment with the US produces Growth-and-Collapse.
• The Bubbly Economy of Argentina Not a pretty picture.
• Latin American Futures Emphasis on Business-as-usual and Technological change provide the most likely futures.

You can experiment yourself with the ARL20 BAU model here.

Blog Roll: Europe

 

The European Union is forecast to reach a Steady State around 2050 (see below). The News and Blog Roll below should be read in light of the impending Steady State Economy which might not be perceived by all protestors, commentators and politicians as desirable.

 

Oct 21, 2026 Student Protests Mushroom Across Europe, Exposing Bleak Views of the Future Since high school students began protesting in France in September, they’ve been joined by young demonstrators in at least seven other European countries.

Aug 12, 2026 Europe Faces Another Heat Wave Soaring temperatures, widespread wildfires and dried-up rivers are transforming tourism across the continent. Here’s how travelers are responding.

Apr 15, 2026 Orbán is out. Who’s the EU’s next disruptor-in-chief?

Apr 9, 2026 NATO: Another Casualty of the Iran War?

LeMonde reported, at the end of 2025, that Europe had become the largest supplier of arms to Ukraine, although the armaments were largely purchased from the US. And, in 2026 the EU and South America agreed to form a Free-Trade Zone with 700 million people. EU policy now seems to be a reaction to Geopolitical actions (and inactions) by the Trump II Administrations. From the graphic above (from ChatGPT), Security is not the only problem facing the EU.

I have a number of posts on the EU, but there is much more to analyze in the future:

• Was the EU economy Wrecked by Austerity? Around the turn of the 21st Century, the EU tried to break away from a stable attractor path for growth. They failed. Poor performance of the EU is simply a return to more moderate, sustainable growth.
• Is the EU Heading for a Steady State Economy? My forecasting models predict that a steady state provides the most likely future attractor path. Google AI doesn't think so.
• Was it a mistake for Britain to enter the EU? The typical question asked right now is whether Britain should have exited the EU (Brexit). However, the period after the Maastricht Treaty (1992) that founded the EU was a period of unsustainable growth that eventually returned Britain to the attractor path around 2010. A decade of "poor" growth before Brexit in 2020 was simply a return to the attractor growth path, not failure.
• Is Another EU Recession Likely? Yes, if growth exceeds the attractor path.
• Has the EU Given up on Climate Change? Evidently, the EU decided in 2020 to give up "fixed climate targets". However, CO2 emissions are forecast to decline well after 2040.
• Future Geopolitical Alignment Forecasts for the EU also suggest approach of the Steady State. Some geopolitical alignments (with the US and the World System) predict collapse of the EU. The best forecast, although it is not for unlimited exponential growth, is for  Business-as-Usual (BAU).
• How does the EUL20 BAU Steady-State Economy Model work? Not in ways that are envisioned by Modern Economic Theory but that are easily explained by Systems Theory.
• World System Steady State and Collapse The only stable, steady state future for the World System is dominance by Europe. Right now, competition between the major Hegemonic contenders (the US, Russia and China) might not produce a steady-state Future.

The graphic above shows the State Variables for the EUL_20 Model. Three State Variables (EU1, EU2 and EU3) explain 99.6% of the variation in the underlying indicators (see the EUL20 Measurement Model below). EU1 is (Overall Growth) forecast to reach a steady state around 2050. EU2 is the Historical Emissions Controller which will continue to decline. EU3 is the Unemployment Controller which, after cycles in the late 20th Century, is forecast to be at equilibrium in the future.

Notes

Harrington, G. (2022) Five Insights for Avoiding Global Collapse

You can run the EU_L20 Model (here) along with a number of other models for EU Countries. Explanations for data sources and how the models were constructed can be found in the Boiler Plate.

ChatGPT

More Video 

 

Wikipedia

• Post-Growth an umbrella term that refers to a broad family of economic, ecological, and political perspectives responding to the limits-to-growth dilemma—the recognition that infinite economic growth is biophysically unsustainable on a finite planet.
• Degrowth an academic and social movement aimed at the planned and democratic reduction of production and consumption as a solution to social-ecological crises.
• European Union (EU) a political and economic union of 27 member states that are located primarily in Europe.
• Brexit a portmanteau of "Britain" and "Exit") was the withdrawal of the United Kingdom (UK) from the European Union (EU)
• Maastricht Treaty (1992) the foundation treaty of the European Union (EU).
• Steady State Economy an economy made up of a constant stock of physical wealth (capital) and a constant population size. In effect, such an economy does not grow in the course of time.
• Economy of the European Union The European Union's economy combines the national economies of the supranational organization's member states. It makes up the majority of the European economy as the second largest economy in the world in nominal terms, after the United States.
• History of the European Union The European Union is a geo-political entity, created in 1993, covering a large portion of the European continent. It is founded upon numerous treaties and has undergone expansions and secessions that have taken it from six member states to 27, a majority of the states in Europe.
• Politics of the European Union The political structure of the European Union (EU) is similar to a confederation, where many policy areas are federalized into common institutions capable of making law; the competences to control foreign policy, defence policy, or the majority of direct taxation policies are mostly reserved for the twenty-seven state governments (the Union does limit the level of variation allowed for VAT). These areas are primarily under the control of the EU's member states although a certain amount of structured co-operation and coordination takes place in these areas. 
• Council of the European Union the third of the seven institutions of the European Union (EU) as listed in the Treaty on European Union. It is one of two legislative bodies and together with the European Parliament serves to amend and approve, or veto, the proposals of the European Commission, which holds the right of initiative.
• Institutions of the European Union the seven principal decision-making bodies of the European Union and Euratom governed under the Treaties of the European Union and European Union law. They are, as listed in Article 13 of the Treaty on the European Union.
• Tipping Point thresholds that, when exceeded, can lead to large changes in the state of the system

The biggest Security problem facing the EU is Russian Expansionism. For more background, see my Blog Roll: Russia. The Russian Economy is highly cyclical and might well collapse (again) in the next few decades. However, integration of Ukraine in the EU will remain a problem as long as Russian Expansionism continues (see my Blog Roll: Ukraine).

Will the UK decide to return to the EU? See whether my Blog Roll: UK will help you make a forecast.

Do you think the EU-LA Free Trade Zone will help either the EU or Latin America? See my Blog Roll: Latin America.

EU_L20 Measurement Model

Three components in the EU_L20 state space explain 99.6% of the variation in the indicator variables: EU1 = (Overall Growth), EU2 = (CO2 - LU) an Environmental-Unemployment Controller and EU3 = (LU - Q) an (Unemployment - GDP) controller.

EU_L20 BAU System Matrix

The EU_L20 System Matrix is stable, meaning that the system will eventually reach a steady state.

Google AI