On Fareed Zakaria GPS, Fareed interviewed Robert D. Kaplan (video above). Mr. Kaplan's thesis is that geography constrains the distribution of power within the World system and largely encourages particular outcomes in the balance of power between nations.
His analysis of geography leads him to the conclusion that Russian, Iran, Afghanistan, and Mexico will be the dominant powers in the future of the World System. World System theory, on the other hand, has focused on Hegemony.
Jul 9, 2025 Iran has been in the news lately after US and Israel bombings. However, the problems for Iran are really historically driven and go back to the immediate aftermath of WWII. I have state-space models of the Iranian economy from 1950 to the present and use the models to help understand Iran's historical development
HINT: the Iranian economy is an historically driven economy not a Neoclassical Economy.
Here's a blog roll:
Seven Futures for IranNo Geopolitical Alignment (Business-as-Usual) is best for Iran but the country does not seem able to management it's own economy.
I use my blogs to make informal comments on policy topics related to my research interests in the World-System, computer simulation of the US Health Care System, the US Economy, the US Stock Market, and the US Financial System. I am retired from the University of Wisconsin -- Madison. I have taught Statistics and Computer Science and also served on the UW's HIPAA Task Force and the Bioterrorism Task Force. I have also been a member of my local planning commission, a jazz guitarist and a golfer, so some of that may find its way into the blogs.