The United States is facing a large number of problems right now. And, it does not appear that the Trump II Administration policies are addressed to solving any of them. Here are the problems and their interconnections as reported by ChatGPT:
Briefly, the Political System (top of the graphic) has created economic, social, technological and geopolitical pressures that hav led to declining state capacity. The arrows show reinforcing causal links that make the problems difficult to address.
A Blog Roll of my postings on the US economy mostly using the USL20 model follows:
- Alternate Futures for the US The current administration (Trump II) envisions a Business-As-Usual future of unlimited, unstable exponential growth. A more realistic Geopolitical model would link the US to the World System.
- US CO2 Emission Reductions Unlikely The Trump II has done everything they can to disable Climate Policy and my forecasts are for CO2 emissions to stabilize at current levels (rather than be reduced) well past 2040.
- Why is Hardship Increasing in the US? Again, Business-as-usual (BAU) Policies of the Trump II do nothing to reduce hardship in the US.
- Geopolitical Linkages to Canada and Mexico. The Trump II administrations threatening policies toward North and South American countries are not facilitating a stable Geopolitical Environment. It would be better if North and South American countries found ways to link to the World System and benefit each other. US Hegemonic Leadership is not producing stability.


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