Blog Roll: The United Kingdom (1950-2000+)

 

27 June 2026 Why was Keir Starmer so Disastrously Ineffective?

23 June 2026 Britain Is Still Deep in the Shadow of Brexit: Ten years after a slim majority voted to leave the European Union, the economic and political effects of that decision continue to disrupt the United Kingdom.

22 June 2026 Ten Years After Brexit, the Dismal Verdict Is In and Prime Minister Starmer Resigns

24 April 2026 Could Trump withdraw US support for UK sovereignty of Falklands? Trump wants to punish European countries for not supporting his 2026 War on Iran.

A shock to the UK system will increase Overall Growth (UK1), increase Environmental damage (UK2)  and decrease Globalization-Human Development (UK3) (see the UKL20 Model).

After Leaving the European Union on on 31 January 2020 (Brexit), Britain's future remains murky. ChatGPT reports that:

ChatGPT also provides a number of background references for this conclusion:

• UK Economy returns to growth, but only just, as Reeves plans budget
• Bank of England Monetary Policy Report -- November 2025
• UK Inflation, OBR 2026 Forecasts
• IFS Economic Outlook for the UK: navigating narrow paths
• IMF: Bank of England Should be 'Very Cautious'

If you are interested in forming your own opinions about the Economy of the United Kingdom, here is a Blog Roll of results from various historical Systems models:

• UKL20 Hardship Dynamics As a Steady-State Economy approaches for Great Britain, Cycles of Hardship will be percieved as Political Failure and will result in Political Instability.
• Brexit, Financialization, Hardship and Growth?  Britain gave up on the EU before the benfits were realized.
• Six Forecasts for the United Kingdom Some are stable, some are not.
• Technological Change in the United Kingdom Technical Productivity seems to be reaching a Steady State in the UK.
• Should Great Britain Have Exited the European Union? A Great Counterfactual!
• Is the UK Economy Heading for a Steady State? Maybe and maybe not!
• Hegemonic Dominance Not surprisingly, the UK is one of the "also rans" in the battle for Hegemonic Dominance of the World System, but that is not necessarily a good thing.
• British Austerity: Is the Pain Worth the Gain No.
• Austerity: No Pain, No Gain or No Brain? You decide!
• Is Britain Heading for Another Debt Crisis? The Debt Controller is Stable.
• How is Debt Controlled in Great Britain?  The EU had rules; now the UK doesn't.
• Globalization Shocks: The UK After Brexit Globalization had very small effects on the UK Economy.
• The UK Has a Growth-and-Collapse Mode that can dominate after Brexit.
• Focus on Technical Efficency (TECHE) puts the UK in Growth-and-Collapse mode.

The Economy of the United Kingdom in History:

• The UKL19D Model Collapsing Economy, unstable Export-Urban Population controller.
• The UKE20 Model During the Great Depression, the UK had doubly unstable Growth-Export and Export-Employment Controllers.
• The UKL19 Model During the Late 19th Century, the British economy was unstable and collapsing due to an unstable Urban-Export controller.
• The UK18 Model During the 18th Century, the British Economy was also unstable and collapsing due to an unstable Growth-Export Controller and an Unstable Export-Population Controller. Historically, the UK Economy was saved by the Industrial Revolution.
• The UK17 Model During the 17th Century, the British Economy had an unstable Growth-Exports controller and an unstable Malthusian-Export controller (Exports allowing the economy to growth exponentially.
• The UK16 Model During the 16th Century, the British Economy had an unstable Growth-Export controller and an unstable Urban-Population-Export controller, allowing the economy to growth exponentially.

You can run the UKL20 Model using R-code on my Google Site. The model is an unstable, Moving Equilibrium model that can be easily stabilized (see instructions in the code).